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Sumit Arora

Full-Stack Architect

Brisbane, Australia
January 4, 2026
8 min readCase Study

The Week 8 Problem: How a Profitable Company Nearly Missed Payroll

A growing tech services company with $4.8M revenue and healthy profits found themselves 10 days away from missing payroll. Here's what went wrong and how they fixed it.

The Crisis

Nexus Technologies had been growing 35% year-over-year. Their P&L looked great. They were winning bigger contracts. Everything seemed fine.

Then in just 8 weeks, their operating account dropped from $420,000 to $85,000.

Upcoming Obligations
  • Payroll (10 days)$82,000
  • Vendor payments (3 weeks)$178,000
  • Delayed client payment-$95,000
Cash available$85,000

The Growth Paradox

On paper, Nexus was doing everything right:

$685K
Accounts Receivable
$1.2M
Signed Contracts
35%
YoY Growth

But here's the problem: revenue on paper doesn't pay bills. They were winning work faster than they were collecting cash.

How 8 Weeks Changed Everything

1
Week 1-2Won two large contracts
+$240K (signed)|Payment terms: Net 60
2
Week 3Hired 4 new staff
-$45K/month added|Payroll due every 2 weeks
3
Week 4Vendor payments due
-$120K|Contracted deliverables
4
Week 5-6Client payment delayed
-$95K (expected)|Client internal approval delays
5
Week 7Second payroll cycle
-$82K|Non-negotiable
6
Week 8Cash crisis discovered
$85K remaining|Payroll in 10 days: $82K needed

The Root Cause

Nexus wasn't tracking cash flow — they were tracking revenue. Their accounting system showed a healthy P&L, but nobody was watching the bank account.

What They Tracked

Revenue, profit margins, contract pipeline

What They Should Have Tracked

Cash position, 13-week rolling forecast, days sales outstanding

The Four Lessons

1

Revenue ≠ Cash

A signed contract isn't money in the bank. Payment terms, collection delays, and billing cycles all create gaps between earning and receiving.

2

Growth Consumes Cash

Every new hire, every new project, every expansion requires cash upfront. The faster you grow, the more working capital you need.

3

Visibility Prevents Crisis

Nexus had the data. They just weren't looking at it the right way. A 13-week rolling forecast would have flagged the problem in Week 3.

4

Profitable ≠ Solvent

You can be profitable on paper and still run out of cash. Accrual accounting and cash accounting tell different stories.

What Nexus Built

After the crisis, Nexus implemented a cash forecasting system:

13-Week Rolling Forecast
Updated weekly. Shows exactly when cash will hit and when obligations are due.
AR Aging Dashboard
Real-time visibility into what's owed and when it's expected.
Cash Runway Alerts
Automatic warnings when runway drops below 8 weeks.
Scenario Modelling
What-if analysis for delayed payments, new hires, unexpected expenses.

Need Cash Flow Visibility?

We build practical financial tools for growing businesses — cash forecasting, AR management, and financial dashboards that show what matters.

Let's Talk